Monday, June 13, 2016

23 June 2016: The Multiplier Debate and the Eurozone Crisis

Joshua Felman
International Monetary Fund

In a famous paper, Blanchard and Leigh (2013) discovered that there was a strong link between fiscal consolidation projected in Spring 2010 and subsequent growth forecast errors. They interpreted this link as indicating that forecasters had used multipliers that were far too low. This paper argues that this interpretation was not correct. The real problem was that forecasters failed to foresee the euro area crisis.

Date: June 23, 2016
Time: 04:30 P.M.

Conference Hall, Ground Floor
R&T Building
National Institute of Public Finance and Policy,
18/2 Satsang Vihar Marg, Special Institutional Area,
New Delhi-110067(INDIA)


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