24 January 2017: Incidence of Indirect Taxes: Who really pays taxes in India?

Frederico Gil Sander
and
Urmila Chatterjee
World Bank

Chair:
Hisham Abdo, World Bank

Abstract:
The Indian government has embarked on an ambitious and historic tax reform with the introduction of the Goods and Services Tax (GST). By encompassing multiple state and federal indirect taxes into a single value added tax, the GST promises to create a single market for goods and services in India. While the efficiency gains from this reform are widely studied, little attention has been paid to its distributional implications. In fact, the incidence of the current tax policies is not well documented either. How is the burden of taxation distributed among income groups? Are the current indirect tax policies progressive or regressive in nature? How will the GST change the current distribution of tax burdens, and will it lead to greater or lesser equity? This BBL aims to provide answers to these questions by presenting preliminary results from the ‘Incidence of indirect taxes in India’ research project.

Date: January 24, 2017
Time: 01:30 P.M.

Venue:
The World Bank,
70 Lodi Estate,
New Delhi-110003(INDIA)

Location:

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Note:
Please confirm your attendance by email to Sapna John (sjohn4@worldbank.org).

7 August 2014: The Effect of Quantitative Easing on Financial Flows to Developing Countries

Sanket Mohapatra
The World Bank

Abstract:
Following the 2008 global financial crisis, central banks in high-income countries led by the U.S Fed embarked on unprecedented monetary policy easing. These quantitative easing (QE) policies more than quadrupled the U.S Fed’s balance sheet within a short span of five years. Sanket will discuss the implications of QE for financial flows to developing countries, finding evidence for potential transmission along observable liquidity, portfolio balancing, and confidence channels—as well as additional effects over and above these observable channels. He will also discuss the different impact of QE on different types of flows: portfolio (especially bond) flows tended to be significantly more sensitive than foreign direct investment. Mohapatra will also present simulations to explore the potential effects of QE withdrawal on financial flows to developing countries.

Date: August 7, 2014
Time: 03:30 P.M.

Venue:
NCAER Conference Room
National Council of Applied Economic Research
Parisila Bhawan, 11, Indraprastha Estate
New Delhi-110002(INDIA)

Location:

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Note:
Please join us for tea and hot snacks after the seminar. For queries, please contact Ms Sudesh Bala at sbala@ncaer.org or on 011-2345-2669.

17 April 2014: Spatial Distribution of Economic Activities and Commuting by Workers in Rural and Urban India

S. Chandrashekhar
IGIDR

Abstract:
Unlike migration, scant attention has been paid to the phenomenon of commuting by workers in developing countries. This paper fills this gap by using a nationally representative data set from India to analyze factors that affect the decision of workers to commute across rural and urban areas daily. Results suggest that regions with large peripheral urban areas or concentration of secondary sector jobs are more likely to have commuting workers. Regional rural and urban unemployment rates and rural-urban wage differentials are important push and pull factors in the decision to commute.

To show why commuting matters, the authors establish differences in monthly per capita consumption expenditure (MPCE), food consumption patterns, and dietary diversity across three mutually exclusive types of households: where all members work in rural areas, at least one member commutes to urban areas, or at least one member has no fixed place of work. The paper finds that as compared to households with no commuters, households with rural-urban commuters have higher MPCE and dietary diversity; whereas households with no fixed place workers have lower MPCE and dietary diversity. The paper also establishes differences in the above mentioned indicators across households which differ by their primary source of income.

Date: April 17, 2014
Time: 12:30 P.M.

Venue:
2nd Floor Conference Room
The World Bank,
70 Lodi Estate,
New Delhi-110003(INDIA)

Location:

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Note:
Please confirm your attendance by email to Shilpi Gupta (sgupta11@worldbank.org) by Wednesday, April 16th.

10 February 2014: Direct Benefit Transfers and Financial Inclusion in India: View from the Ground

Stephen Rasmussen
The Consultative Group to Assist the Poor (CGAP)and
Gregory Chen
The Consultative Group to Assist the Poor (CGAP)and
Shweta Banerjee
The Consultative Group to Assist the Poor (CGAP)

Abstract:
With over 200,000 bank agents on the ground, a push for direct benefit transfers, and a new approach to regulation, India seems to be moving fast towards its goal of achieving a bank account for every citizen by 2016. How is it playing out on the ground?

CGAP has recently released two pieces of research, one looked at electronic benefit transfers in the state of Andhra Pradesh from demand, supply and policy perspectives, and the other was a national survey of bank agents across the country. This BBL will share the results and bring to bear global trends on the same issues that India is currently grappling with.

Date: February 10, 2013
Time: 12:30 P.M.

Venue:
Ground Floor Conference Room
The World Bank,
70 Lodi Estate,
New Delhi-110003(INDIA)

Location:

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Note:
Please confirm your attendance by email to Rita Dawar (rdawar@worldbank.org) by Friday, February 7th.

23 September 2013: Launch of Urbanization beyond Municipal Boundaries- Nurturing Metropolitan Economies and Connecting Peri-Urban Areas in India Report

Presenters:
Tara Vishwanath, Lead Economist
World Bank
and
Somik Lall, Lead Economist
World Bank

Chair:
Arun Maira, Member, Planning Commission, Government of India

Discussants:
Dr. Partha Mukhopadhyay, Senior Fellow, Centre for Policy Studies, New Delhi                
Ms. Ireena Vittal, Co-author of the McKinsey Report on India's Urban Awakening: Building inclusive cities, Sustaining economic growth

Abstract:
The report informs policy priorities to manage India’s urbanization. Incisive analysis of the patterns of India’s urbanization derived from geo-referencing and linking various rounds of the population and economic census highlights rapid suburbanization of people and firms around the country’s largest metropolitan areas. Three areas of policy reform are put forward. First, to accommodate urban expansion, India needs to make changes to its urban planning “License Raj”. Urban planning systems across the country limit urban expansion, redevelopment, modernization and the re-purposing of older inefficient areas. Investing in India’s institutional and informational foundations can enable land and housing markets to function efficiently while deregulating land use in urban areas. To achieve this, planning for land use and planning for infrastructure must be coordinated so that densification of metropolitan areas can be accompanied by infrastructure improvements. Second, expanding and delivering better infrastructure services to improve livability. Policy makers need to institute reforms that would help providers recover costs yet reach out to poorer neighborhoods and peripheral areas. Third, strengthening physical connectivity between metropolitan hubs and their peripheries to develop areas that attract the majority of people and businesses over the medium term. Investments in network infrastructure alongside logistics improvements can facilitate the smoother movement of goods. Land policy, infrastructure services, and connectivity—coordinated improvements in this triad can help India reap dividends from improved spatial equity and greater economic efficiency that come with urbanization.

Date: September 23, 2013
Time: 03:00 P.M.

Venue:
Room No. HT-1-300,
Ground Floor, Hindustan Times Building,
Kasturba Gandhi Marg,
New Delhi - 110001(INDIA)

Location:

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Note:
Please confirm your participation to Lorraine Ghosh at lghosh@worldbank.org

22 August 2013: Direct Benefit Transfers in India: An Idea Whose Time Has Come

Varad Pande
Ministry of Rural Development, Government of India and
Rajesh Bansal
Unique Identity Authority of India, Governemnt of India

Abstract:
The Indian Government has launched an ambitious project to provide direct payments of benefits and services to residents, based on the biometric authentication system Aadhaar, which has already enrolled more than 40 crore Indian residents. The programme has the potential to transform delivery of public services in India, improving targeting and generating fiscal savings. The Talk will focus on the strategic thinking and design of the project, its current status, and an assessment of the implementation challenges.

Date: August 22, 2013
Time: 12:30 P.M.

Venue:
Second Floor Conference Room
The World Bank,
70 Lodi Estate,
New Delhi-110003(INDIA)

Location:

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Note:
Please confirm your attendance by email to Savita Dhingra (sdhingra1@worldbank.org) by Wednesday, August 21st.

6 August 2013: Politics and Local Economic Growth: Evidence from India

Sam Asher and Paul Novosad
Harvard University

Abstract:
Does politics have an impact on local economic outcomes? Using a regression discontinuity design built around close elections in India from 1990-2005, we examine the local economic effects of one form of political favoritism: the benefit of having a local politician who is aligned with the party in control of the state government. We show that private sector employment in politically aligned constituencies grows by 1.7 percentage points more per year than in non-aligned constituencies. We find no effect on government employment or supply of public infrastructure. Stock prices show 12-15% positive cumulative abnormal returns when an aligned candidate wins the constituency where a firm is headquartered, suggesting that political alignment is a net benefit to both local labor and capital. Finally, we use international survey data to classify industries by their dependence on (i) government bureaucracy, (ii) direct transfers in the form of procurement, and (iii) external finance. We find the effect of political alignment is largest in industries that depend most on government officials, with no significant effect of dependence on credit or procurement. The results suggest that state politicians can control the enforcement of regulation, with important economic consequences.

Date: August 6, 2013
Time: 12:30 P.M.

Venue:
Second Floor Conference Room
The World Bank,
70 Lodi Estate,
New Delhi-110003(INDIA)

Location:

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Note:
Please confirm your attendance by email to Aarti Nanda (ananda@worldbank.org) by Monday, August 5th.

31 July 2013: EasyPaisa: Launching the Largest Mobile Money Service in Pakistan

Nadeem Hussain
Tameer Microfinance Bank

Abstract:
EasyPaisa, the largest mobile money service in Pakistan, has 5 million users, in a country where 89% of the population is unbanked. The service is owned and operated by a unique partnership of Telenor (a mobile network operator) , and Tameer Bank (financial service provider). In addition to a mobile account through which the user can remit money, Easy Paisa offers utility bill pay, and receipt of government benefits. This talk, by Nadeem Hussain, CEO and founding partner of EasyPaisa, will describe the role of technology, agent networks, regulation, and knowledge of customer needs, all of which contributed to the growth of this service.

Date: July 31, 2013
Time: 12:30 P.M.

Venue:
Second Floor Conference Room
The World Bank,
70 Lodi Estate,
New Delhi-110003(INDIA)

Location:

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Note:
Please confirm your attendance by email to Aarti Nanda (ananda@worldbank.org) by Tuesday, July 30th.

17 April 2013: Women's Status and Children's Height in India: Evidence from Joint Rural Households

Dean Spears
Princeton University

Abstract:
Children in India are puzzlingly short relative to their level of economic development. Stunting among Indian children is important because childhood height predicts adult human capital and health. One candidate explanation for why Indian children are so short is the very low social status of Indian women who, as mothers, feed and care for children in the early life period that largely determines their height. However, the literature lacks a well-identified test of this conjecture. This paper applies a novel strategy to identify an effect of women's status on children's height. Anthropological and demographic literature suggest that within joint Indian households, women married to older brothers have higher intra-household status than women married to younger brothers. We study children of these women: children of higher ranking daughters-in-law are taller, on average, than children of lower ranking daughters-in-law in rural Indian joint households. We provide empirical evidence that lower ranking daughters-in-law indeed have lower status in joint households and rule out several competing explanations for our findings.

Date: April 17, 2013
Time: 12:30 P.M.

Venue:
Second Floor Conference Room
The World Bank,
70 Lodi Estate,
New Delhi-110003(INDIA)

Location:

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Note:
Please confirm your attendance by email to Jyoti Sriram at jsriram@worldbank.org by tuesday April 16.

24 August 2012: India's Total Sanitation Campaign: Two Randomized Experiments and Some Observations

Dean Spears
Princeton University

Abstract:
Open defecation in India presents a profound threat to health and human capital accumulation. Recent analyses of observational data suggest that, on average, India’s Total Sanitation Campaign has had a positive effect on infant mortality and human capital. What do randomized experimental data show? This talk will review earlier evidence and present new preliminary results from two randomized studies. The first is a trial of a TSC-like intervention in Maharashtra: the sanitation intervention caused children under five to grow taller, an outcome that is consistent with what is known about the lasting effects of early life disease. The second studies randomized reservation of village chair positions in Rajasthan: villages assigned to a Scheduled Caste sarpanch are less likely to win a prize for being open defecation free, even though they build as many latrines as other villages, on average. The talk will conclude with some observations from recent qualitative fieldwork and suggestions for policy.

Date: August 24, 2012
Time: 01:00 P.M.

Venue:
Second Floor Conference Room
The World Bank,
70 Lodi Estate,
New Delhi-110003(INDIA)

Location:

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Note:
Please confirm your attendance by email to Jyoti Sriram at
jsriram@worldbank.org by Thursday, August 23rd.

17 August 2012: Should the Right to Property Return?

Namita Wahi
Harvard Law School and Center for Policy Research

Abstract:
The Indian Constitution adopted in 1950 guaranteed to all
citizens the fundamental right to “acquire, hold and dispose of
property” subject to reasonable restrictions in the public interest.
Moreover, Article 31 of the Constitution provided that any state
acquisition of property must only be upon enactment of a valid law,
for a public purpose and upon payment of compensation with exceptions
for certain zamindari abolition laws. The following decades saw
conflict between the legislature and the courts in cases of
acquisition of property (movable and immovable) with the Supreme Court
striking down acquisition laws (including but not limited to land
acquisition laws) on constitutional grounds and Parliament responding
with amendments to the Constitution which redefined property rights.
This culminated in the 44th amendment in 1978 which abolished the
fundamental right to property. However, a legal right to property was
retained in Article 300A of the Constitution.

Prior to 1978, the Supreme Court was vilified in political rhetoric
and scholarly discourse as being reactionary and anti poor. The
Court’s enforcement of property rights was criticised for defending
the rights of rich property owners and impeding the Parliament’s land
reform agenda. Recently however, widespread state acquisition of land
has received public attention due to dispossession of poor peasants
and traditional communities like forest dwellers, cattle grazers,
fishermen and indigenous tribal groups. Consequently, scholars have
renewed focus on property rights. It is now argued that the “weakening
of property rights” by Parliament in response to the Court’s
pro-property rights decisions in the first phase has “dispossessed the
poor” rather than the rich. In accordance with this view, in February
2009, a public interest petition was filed in the Supreme Court
seeking invalidation of the 44th amendment and restoration of the
fundamental right to property.

In my presentation, I will examine the chequered history of the
constitutional property rights provision in order to provide a revised
narrative of how state institutions in India, the Parliament and the
Supreme Court have, over the last sixty years, managed tensions
between the right to property and the state’s power to acquire
property for the purposes of redistribution and economic development.
I hope my presentation will contain useful insights for evaluating the
current discourses surrounding the new Land Acquisition,
Rehabilitation and Resettlement bill and the reinstatement of the
fundamental right to property in the Constitution.

Date: August 17, 2012
Time: 12:30 P.M.

Venue:
Second Floor Conference Room
The World Bank,
70 Lodi Estate,
New Delhi-110003(INDIA)

Location:

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Note:
Please confirm your attendance by email to Jyoti Sriram at
jsriram@worldbank.org by Thursday, August 16th.

8 August 2012: An Introduction to the Proposed Law on Land Acquisition

Muhammad A. Khan
Officer on Special Duty to the Minister of Rural Development, Government of India

Abstract:
The Government of India, through the Ministry of Rural
Development, has undertaken a legislative revisit of the century old
law on land acquisition. This new law, the draft Land Acquisition,
Resettlement and Rehabilitation Bill 2011, seeks to provide a better,
more comprehensive and humane vehicle for the exercise of eminent
domain while simultaneously seeking to address the inevitable
displacement that accompanies such acquisition. This talk analyses the
various contributing factors that led to the emergence of a consensus
for a new law. It then outlines the authorities established and also
discusses the broad objectives sought to be achieved by the Bill.

The talk is meant to serve as an introduction to the provisions of
the Bill and how it seeks to avoid and remedy the shortfalls of its
predecessor the Land Acquisition Act 1894.

Date: August 8, 2012
Time: 12:30 P.M.

Venue:
Second Floor Conference Room
The World Bank,
70 Lodi Estate,
New Delhi-110003(INDIA)

Location:

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Note:
Please confirm your attendance by mail to Jyoti Sriram at
jsriram@worldbank.org by tuesday, August 7th.

30 July 2012: The Price of Land: Acquisition, Conflict, Consequence

Sanjoy Chakravorty
Temple University

Abstract:
Land acquisition for industry and infrastructure has become a source of major conflict in the last half decade in India. Sites like Singur, Nandigram, Niyamgiri, and Maha Mumbai, and phenomena like the Maoist insurgency are well-known. Some believe that land acquisition is the “biggest problem” in India’s growth path. It is a central political issue in several states. A new land acquisition bill with serious long-term consequences is making its way through parliament. This book asks: What are the facts about land acquisition and the related conflicts? How did the situation reach the current impasse? What are the ways forward?

The explanations are organized around three core themes: the price of land, the role of the state, and changes in land and information markets. The first section is an extensive survey of reality—of land acquisition conflicts (emphasizing selected notorious conflicts), land prices, and agents in the land acquisition process (emphasizing the role of civil society and political parties). The second section explains the origins of the conflicts and the role of the state, especially through the contradictions between the “giving” state (which does land reforms) and the “taking” state (which acquires land). The final section is an analysis of the reality of land markets in contemporary India, especially the rapid rise in the price of urban and rural land, and a critique of the emerging legal and policy approaches to resolving the crisis.

Date: July 30, 2012
Time: 01:00 P.M.

Venue:
Second Floor Conference Room
The World Bank,
70 Lodi Estate,
New Delhi-110003(INDIA)

Location:

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Note:
Please confirm your attendance by mail to Jyoti Sriram at jsriram@worldbank.org by Friday, July 27th.

21 June 2012: The Euro crisis and its implications for the rest of the world

Uri Dadush
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

Abstract:
The debt crisis that began in Greece quickly engulfed Europe and now threatens the global recovery and the future of the euro. While ballooning public debt may be the clearest manifestation of the Euro crisis, its roots go much deeper—to the secular loss of competitiveness that has been associated with euro adoption in countries including Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, and Spain.

Date: June 21, 2012
Time: 06:00 P.M.

Venue:
Lecture Room no. 1, Ground Floor
India International Center Annex,
40, Max Mueller Marg,
New Delhi-110003(INDIA)

Location:

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Note:
Please confirm your attendance by mail to Ms Neelam Chowdhry at nchowdhry@worldbank.org or on 011-41479286 by Wednesday, June 20.

11 May 2012: Food Prices, Nutrition, and the Millennium Development Goals Insights from the Global Monitoring Report 2012

Jos Verbeek
World Bank

Abstract:
What has been the impact of yet another food price spike on
developing countries' ability to make progress toward the Millennium
Development Goals (MDGs)? How many poor people were prevented from
lifting themselves out of poverty? How many people, and how many
children, saw their personal growth and development permanently harmed
because their families could not afford to buy food? How did countries
react to the last two food price spikes of 2007/08 and 2011, and how
did it affect their progress toward the MDGs? And, what can countries
do to respond to higher and more volatile food prices? The Global
Monitoring Report 2012 (www.worldbank.org/gmr2012) examines these
questions, summarizes the impacts of food prices on several MDGs,
reviews policy responses, and outlines future prospects.

Date: May 11, 2012
Time: 12:30 P.M.

Venue:
Ground Floor Conference Room
The World Bank,
70 Lodi Estate,
New Delhi-110003(INDIA)

Location:

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Note:
Please confirm your attendance by mail to Margaret D'Costa at
mdcosta@worldbank.org by Thursday, May 10th.

20 April 2012: Rural Cooperative Banking System in Andhra Pradesh and Orissa: Insights from an Impact Evaluation of the Vaidyanathan Committee Task Force Recommendations

Xavier Gine and Tara Vishwanath
World Bank

Abstract:
In recent years, primary agricultural credit societies
(PACS) have been subject to a massive recapitalization under the
Vaidyanathan Committee Task Force recommendations and the loan waiver
of 2008. As a result, they may end up playing a larger role in the
provision of financial services for the poor. Using survey data
collected in 2007 and 2009 from six districts in Andhra Pradesh and
Orissa, this paper assesses the performance of 140 primary
agricultural credit cooperatives on management practices, personnel,
client performance and growth.

Date: April 20, 2012
Time: 12:30 P.M.

Venue:
Second Floor Conference Room
The World Bank,
70 Lodi Estate,
New Delhi-110003(INDIA)

Location:

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Note:
Please confirm your attendance by mail to Jyoti Sriram at
jsriram@worldbank.org by thursday, April 19th.

22 March 2012: Reaching the Base of the Pyramid: Lessons Learned from Rural Sanitation

Jacqueline Devine
World Bank

Abstract:
A major challenge faced by development specialists is to design effective strategies to deliver social and infrastructure services to poor segments of the population (the so-called base of the pyramid). While many successful interventions reaching the base of the pyramid exist, there is still a need to develop and document programs that do so cost-effectively, sustainably, and at large scale. This BBL aims to share approaches and lessons learned from the Water and Sanitation Program's Scaling Up Rural Sanitation in reaching the base of the pyramid.

Date: March 22, 2012
Time: 12:30 P.M.

Venue:
Second Floor Conference Room
The World Bank,
70 Lodi Estate,
New Delhi-110003(INDIA)

Location:

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Note:
Please confirm your attendance by mail to Jyoti Sriram at
jsriram@worldbank.org by Wednesday, March 21st

2 February 2012: Scaling up Rural Sanitation: Findings from the Impact Evaluation Baseline Survey in Madhya Pradesh, India

Bertha Briceno
World Bank and
Sumeet Patil
NEERMAN

Abstract:
In India, the Water and Sanitation Program (WSP) provides
technical assistance to the Government of India’s (GoI) Total
Sanitation Campaign (TSC) in two States: Himachal Pradesh and Madhya
Pradesh. TSC is an ambitious countrywide, scaled-up rural sanitation
program launched by the GoI in 1999. As part of the learning
objectives, WSP is conducting a randomized-controlled trial impact
evaluation (IE) study in order to study the health and welfare impacts
of sanitation improvements on the final beneficiaries. This report
summarizes the findings of the baseline and community surveys
conducted in Madhya Pradesh (MP), India, and is part of a series of
papers analyzing the baseline data from countries where the rural
sanitation program is being implemented (Indonesia and Tanzania).

Date: February 2, 2012
Time: 12:30 P.M.

Venue:
Upper Basement Conference Room
The World Bank,
70 Lodi Estate,
New Delhi-110003(INDIA)

Location:

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Note:
Please confirm your attendance by mail to Sapna John at sjohn4@worldbank.org.

10 January 2012: Global Economic Prospects and the Eurozone Crisis

Mario Blejer

Date: January 10, 2012
Time: 12:30 P.M.

Venue:
Upper Basement Conference Room
The World Bank,
70 Lodi Estate,
New Delhi-110003(INDIA)

Location:

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Note:
Please confirm your attendance by mail to Jyoti Sriram at jsriram@worldbank.org

19 December 2011: Does India's Employment Guarantee Scheme Guarantee Employment? How Much Impact does it have on Poverty?

Martin Ravallion
World Bank

Abstract:
India’s National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (NREGA)
stipulates up to 100 days of work to any household who wants it, at
wage rates set around the levels of the statutory minimum wage rates
for agricultural labor. If the scheme worked in practice the way it
is designed there would be no un-met demand for work on the scheme.
Anyone who wanted work would get it. Under certain conditions, such a
scheme would have a huge impact on poverty in India. But are those
conditions met in practice? Possibly not all those who say they want
this work would want 100 days. There may be un-met demand for work,
such that not everyone who wants it can get it. There may well be some
foregone income—some “deadweight loss” from taking up work on the
scheme. The full wage rate stipulated under the scheme might not be
received by workers. While the National Rural Employment Guarantee
scheme is probably the largest single anti-poverty program anywhere,
there has been very little rigorous evaluative research.

The presentation will study the performance of the scheme in one of
the India’s poorest states, Bihar, drawing on a forthcoming report
documenting results from a panel survey of 2,000 households in rural
Bihar 2009-10. A variety of data sources and methods are
employed—including both observational (econometric) and experimental
methods—to address the key questions about performance of the scheme
in Bihar. The results confirm the potential for this scheme to reduce
poverty but point to a number of specific performance issues that
impede realizing that potential in practice. The results reveal a
large in-met demand for work on the scheme in Bihar, and very low
awareness of what needs to be done to obtain work, and low
participation by poor people in decisions about the scheme. A
randomized awareness intervention using a specially designed fictional
movie is shown to impact awareness, and more so for certain key
sub-groups. Specific actionable areas for reform are identified. (The
report is written by Puja Dutta, Rinku Murgai, Martin Ravallion and
Dominique van de Walle).

Date: December 19, 2011
Time: 12:30 P.M.

Venue:
Conference Room, 2nd Floor
The World Bank,
70 Lodi Estate,
New Delhi-110003(INDIA)

Location:

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Note:
Please confirm your attendance by mail to Jyoti Sriram at jsriram@worldbank.org by by Friday, December 16